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"Ze Colmeia"
Rodrigo Nascimento
11-3-0
(0 KO, 2 SUB)
VS
"King Kong"
Alexandr Romanov
18-3-0
(1 KO, 3 SUB)
47.7%
52.3%
PMill Win Probability
Total Rounds (2.5)
PMill AI Analysis
D
RECOMMENDED BET
No bet - Edge not strong enough
54.6% Confidence on Alexandr Romanov
Lean: Alexandr Romanov ML
Rodrigo Implied
28.5%
PMill Probability
47.7%
Value Edge
+19.2%
Striking
Alexandr
32.5
Grappling
Alexandr
18.2
Physical
Rodrigo
35.0
Finishing
Alexandr
6.2
Detailed Edge Breakdown
Rodrigo
vs
Alexandr
Striking
3.71
Striking Volume
3.78
47%
Strike Accuracy
51%
44%
Strike Defense
54%
4.34
Strikes Absorbed
2.13
Grappling
1.02
Takedown Offense
4.49
37%
Takedown Accuracy
55%
60%
Takedown Defense
28%
0.50
Submission Threat
0.90
Physical
80.0"
Reach
+5.0" edge
75.0"
74.0"
Height
Even
74.0"
Finishing
0%
KO Power
6%
18%
Submission Rate
17%
18%
Finish Rate
22%
Recent Form (Last 5 Fights)
Rodrigo
L
L
W
W
W
Alexandr
W
L
W
L
L
Rodrigo
L
vs Alexandr Romanov
DEC
L
vs Derrick Lewis
KO/TKO
W
vs Don'Tale Mayes
DEC
W
vs Ilir Latifi
DEC
W
vs Tanner Boser
DEC
Alexandr
W
vs Rodrigo Nascimento
DEC
L
vs Jailton Almeida
SUB
W
vs Blagoy Ivanov
DEC
L
vs Alexander Volkov
KO/TKO
L
vs Marcin Tybura
DEC
Tale of the Tape
6' 2"
Height
6' 2"
80"
Reach
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
11-3-0
Record
18-3-0
Win Methods
Rodrigo
KO/TKO
0
0%
Submission
2
18%
Decision
3
27%
Alexandr
KO/TKO
1
6%
Submission
3
17%
Decision
3
17%
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Rodrigo | Alexandr |
|---|---|---|
| JustBet BEST | - | |
| Book_130 BEST | - |