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UFC FIGHT Saturday, April 11, 2026 9:20 PM ET
Carlos Ulberg
"Black Jag"
Carlos Ulberg
14-1-0 (6 KO, 1 SUB)
VS
Jiri Prochazka
 
Jiri Prochazka
32-5-1 (5 KO, 1 SUB)
55.2%
44.8%
PMill Win Probability
Total Rounds (2.5)
B
RECOMMENDED BET
Carlos Ulberg ML
60.3% Confidence on Carlos Ulberg
2 Units Recommended
Carlos Implied 52.4%
PMill Probability 55.2%
Value Edge +2.8%
Striking
Carlos
26.8
Grappling
Carlos
18.3
Physical
Jiri
15.4
Finishing
Carlos
44.6

Detailed Edge Breakdown

Carlos vs Jiri
Striking
6.54
Striking Volume
5.69
55%
Strike Accuracy
55%
51%
Strike Defense
45%
4.04
Strikes Absorbed
5.60
Grappling
0.55
Takedown Offense
0.51
60%
Takedown Accuracy
60%
85%
Takedown Defense
68%
0.20
Submission Threat
0.20
Physical
77.0"
Reach +3.0" edge
80.0"
76.0"
Height +1.0" edge
75.0"
Finishing
43%
KO Power
16%
7%
Submission Rate
3%
50%
Finish Rate
19%
Recent Form (Last 5 Fights)
Carlos NC W W W W
Jiri NC W W L W
Carlos
NC vs Jiri Prochazka DEC
W vs Dominick Reyes KO/TKO
W vs Jan Blachowicz DEC
W vs Volkan Oezdemir DEC
W vs Alonzo Menifield KO/TKO
Jiri
NC vs Carlos Ulberg DEC
W vs Khalil Rountree Jr. KO/TKO
W vs Jamahal Hill KO/TKO
L vs Alex Pereira KO/TKO
W vs Aleksandar Rakic KO/TKO

Tale of the Tape

6' 4" Height 6' 3"
77" Reach 80"
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
14-1-0 Record 32-5-1

Win Methods

Carlos
KO/TKO 6
43%
Submission 1
7%
Decision 3
21%
Jiri
KO/TKO 5
16%
Submission 1
3%
Decision 0
0%

Odds Comparison

Sportsbook Carlos Jiri
Bovada BEST -
Bookmaker BEST -