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"The Eraser"
Paulo Costa
16-4-0
(5 KO, 0 SUB)
VS
"The Professional"
Azamat Murzakanov
16-1-0
(6 KO, 0 SUB)
49.3%
50.7%
PMill Win Probability
Total Rounds (2.5)
PMill AI Analysis
D
RECOMMENDED BET
No bet - Too close to call
50% Confidence on Even
Lean: Even ML
Paulo Implied
31.4%
PMill Probability
49.3%
Value Edge
+17.9%
Striking
Azamat
5.6
Grappling
Azamat
2.9
Physical
Paulo
23.8
Finishing
Azamat
9.1
Detailed Edge Breakdown
Paulo
vs
Azamat
Striking
6.15
Striking Volume
4.40
59%
Strike Accuracy
56%
49%
Strike Defense
56%
5.96
Strikes Absorbed
3.20
Grappling
0.30
Takedown Offense
0.68
42%
Takedown Accuracy
20%
77%
Takedown Defense
88%
0.00
Submission Threat
0.20
Physical
72.0"
Reach
+1.0" edge
71.0"
73.0"
Height
+3.0" edge
70.0"
Finishing
31%
KO Power
38%
31%
Finish Rate
38%
Recent Form (Last 5 Fights)
Paulo
W
W
L
L
W
Azamat
L
W
W
W
W
Paulo
W
vs Azamat Murzakanov
KO/TKO
W
vs Roman Kopylov
DEC
L
vs Sean Strickland
DEC
L
vs Robert Whittaker
DEC
W
vs Luke Rockhold
DEC
Azamat
L
vs Paulo Costa
KO/TKO
W
vs Aleksandar Rakic
KO/TKO
W
vs Brendson Ribeiro
KO/TKO
W
vs Alonzo Menifield
KO/TKO
W
vs Dustin Jacoby
DEC
Tale of the Tape
6' 1"
Height
5' 10"
72"
Reach
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
16-4-0
Record
16-1-0
Win Methods
Paulo
KO/TKO
5
31%
Submission
0
0%
Decision
3
19%
Azamat
KO/TKO
6
38%
Submission
0
0%
Decision
1
6%
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Paulo | Azamat |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada BEST | - | |
| BetUS BEST | - |