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UFC FIGHT Saturday, April 11, 2026 7:20 PM ET
Nate Landwehr
"The Train"
Nate Landwehr
18-7-0 (1 KO, 2 SUB)
VS
Cub Swanson
 
Cub Swanson
30-14-0 (7 KO, 2 SUB)
48.0%
52.0%
PMill Win Probability
Total Rounds (2.5)
D
RECOMMENDED BET
No bet - Edge not strong enough
54.0% Confidence on Cub Swanson
Lean: Cub Swanson ML
Nate Implied 46.5%
PMill Probability 48.0%
Value Edge +1.5%
Striking
Cub
19.2
Grappling
Nate
5.1
Physical
Nate
19.6
Finishing
Cub
20.5

Detailed Edge Breakdown

Nate vs Cub
Striking
5.63
Striking Volume
4.79
45%
Strike Accuracy
51%
52%
Strike Defense
59%
5.83
Strikes Absorbed
4.00
Grappling
0.76
Takedown Offense
1.01
41%
Takedown Accuracy
50%
71%
Takedown Defense
63%
0.80
Submission Threat
0.40
Physical
72.0"
Reach +2.0" edge
70.0"
69.0"
Height +1.0" edge
68.0"
Finishing
6%
KO Power
23%
11%
Submission Rate
7%
17%
Finish Rate
30%
Recent Form (Last 5 Fights)
Nate NC L L W L
Cub NC W L W L
Nate
NC vs Cub Swanson DEC
L vs Morgan Charriere KO/TKO
L vs Dooho Choi KO/TKO
W vs Jamall Emmers KO/TKO
L vs Dan Ige DEC
Cub
NC vs Nate Landwehr DEC
W vs Billy Quarantillo KO/TKO
L vs Andre Fili DEC
W vs Hakeem Dawodu DEC
L vs Jonathan Martinez KO/TKO

Tale of the Tape

5' 9" Height 5' 8"
72" Reach 70"
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
18-7-0 Record 30-14-0

Win Methods

Nate
KO/TKO 1
6%
Submission 2
11%
Decision 2
11%
Cub
KO/TKO 7
23%
Submission 2
7%
Decision 11
37%

Odds Comparison

Sportsbook Nate Cub
BetOnline BEST -
BetUS BEST -