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UFC FIGHT Saturday, April 11, 2026 6:40 PM ET
Aaron Pico
 
Aaron Pico
13-5-0 (0 KO, 0 SUB)
VS
Patricio Pitbull
 
Patricio Pitbull
37-8-0 (0 KO, 0 SUB)
53.0%
47.0%
PMill Win Probability
Total Rounds (2.5)
C
RECOMMENDED BET
No bet - Aaron Pico odds too heavy (-235)
55.9% Confidence on Aaron Pico
Lean: Aaron Pico ML
Aaron Implied 70.1%
PMill Probability 53.0%
Value Edge -17.1%
Striking
Aaron
18.5
Grappling
Aaron
11.6
Physical
Aaron
32.2
Finishing
Even
0.0

Detailed Edge Breakdown

Aaron vs Patricio
Striking
3.88
Striking Volume
2.68
44%
Strike Accuracy
43%
50%
Strike Defense
57%
2.39
Strikes Absorbed
4.23
Grappling
8.96
Takedown Offense
1.49
66%
Takedown Accuracy
33%
0%
Takedown Defense
88%
0.00
Submission Threat
0.60
Physical
70.0"
Reach +3.0" edge
67.0"
68.0"
Height +2.0" edge
66.0"
Finishing
Recent Form (Last 5 Fights)
Aaron NC L
Patricio NC W L
Aaron
NC vs Patricio Pitbull DEC
L vs Lerone Murphy KO/TKO
Patricio
NC vs Aaron Pico DEC
W vs Dan Ige DEC
L vs Yair Rodriguez DEC

Tale of the Tape

5' 8" Height 5' 6"
70" Reach 67"
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
13-5-0 Record 37-8-0

Win Methods

Aaron
KO/TKO 0
0%
Submission 0
0%
Decision 0
0%
Patricio
KO/TKO 0
0%
Submission 0
0%
Decision 1
3%

Odds Comparison

Sportsbook Aaron Patricio
Bovada BEST -
Bookmaker BEST -