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UFC FIGHT Saturday, April 11, 2026 4:15 PM ET
Vicente Luque
"The Silent Assassin"
Vicente Luque
23-12-1 (8 KO, 6 SUB)
VS
Kelvin Gastelum
 
Kelvin Gastelum
21-10-0 (3 KO, 2 SUB)
54.1%
45.9%
PMill Win Probability
Total Rounds (2.5)
B-
RECOMMENDED BET
Vicente Luque ML
58.2% Confidence on Vicente Luque
2 Units Recommended
Vicente Implied 29.9%
PMill Probability 54.1%
Value Edge +24.2%
Striking
Vicente
3.3
Grappling
Vicente
17.0
Physical
Vicente
39.2
Finishing
Vicente
50.2

Detailed Edge Breakdown

Vicente vs Kelvin
Striking
4.83
Striking Volume
3.67
51%
Strike Accuracy
42%
51%
Strike Defense
57%
5.30
Strikes Absorbed
3.53
Grappling
0.90
Takedown Offense
1.01
48%
Takedown Accuracy
34%
60%
Takedown Defense
60%
0.70
Submission Threat
0.10
Physical
75.0"
Reach +4.0" edge
71.0"
71.0"
Height +2.0" edge
69.0"
Finishing
35%
KO Power
14%
26%
Submission Rate
10%
61%
Finish Rate
24%
Recent Form (Last 5 Fights)
Vicente NC L L W L
Kelvin NC W L W L
Vicente
NC vs Kelvin Gastelum DEC
L vs Joel Alvarez DEC
L vs Kevin Holland SUB
W vs Themba Gorimbo SUB
L vs Joaquin Buckley KO/TKO
Kelvin
NC vs Vicente Luque DEC
W vs Dustin Stoltzfus DEC
L vs Joe Pyfer DEC
W vs Daniel Rodriguez DEC
L vs Sean Brady SUB

Tale of the Tape

5' 11" Height 5' 9"
75" Reach 71"
Orthodox Stance Southpaw
23-12-1 Record 21-10-0

Win Methods

Vicente
KO/TKO 8
35%
Submission 6
26%
Decision 2
9%
Kelvin
KO/TKO 3
14%
Submission 2
10%
Decision 9
43%

Odds Comparison

Sportsbook Vicente Kelvin
Bet365 BEST -
Bookmaker BEST -