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UFC FIGHT Saturday, April 11, 2026 3:45 PM ET CBS / Paramount
Charles Radtke
"Chuck Buffalo"
Charles Radtke
12-5-0 (2 KO, 1 SUB)
VS
Francisco Prado
 
Francisco Prado
12-5-0 (1 KO, 0 SUB)
56.7%
43.3%
PMill Win Probability
Total Rounds (2.5)
B+
RECOMMENDED BET
Charles Radtke ML
63.4% Confidence on Charles Radtke
2 Units Recommended
Charles Implied 58.3%
PMill Probability 56.7%
Value Edge -1.6%
Striking
Charles
15.5
Grappling
Charles
44.5
Physical
Charles
15.4
Finishing
Charles
22.4

Detailed Edge Breakdown

Charles vs Francisco
Striking
2.80
Striking Volume
4.09
54%
Strike Accuracy
43%
54%
Strike Defense
54%
2.63
Strikes Absorbed
4.95
Grappling
1.32
Takedown Offense
0.94
30%
Takedown Accuracy
19%
100%
Takedown Defense
50%
0.70
Submission Threat
0.50
Physical
72.0"
Reach +3.0" edge
69.0"
69.0"
Height +1.0" edge
70.0"
Finishing
17%
KO Power
8%
8%
Submission Rate
0%
25%
Finish Rate
8%
Recent Form (Last 5 Fights)
Charles W W L W L
Francisco L L L L W
Charles
W vs Francisco Prado DEC
W vs Daniel Frunza SUB
L vs Mike Malott KO/TKO
W vs Matthew Semelsberger KO/TKO
L vs Carlos Prates KO/TKO
Francisco
L vs Charles Radtke DEC
L vs Nikolay Veretennikov DEC
L vs Jake Matthews DEC
L vs Daniel Zellhuber DEC
W vs Ottman Azaitar KO/TKO

Tale of the Tape

5' 9" Height 5' 10"
72" Reach 69"
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
12-5-0 Record 12-5-0

Win Methods

Charles
KO/TKO 2
17%
Submission 1
8%
Decision 2
17%
Francisco
KO/TKO 1
8%
Submission 0
0%
Decision 0
0%

Odds Comparison

Sportsbook Charles Francisco
Bovada BEST -
Bookmaker BEST -