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Buffalo

7-6
@ Wednesday, February 11 2026 @ 5:00 PM

Ball State

6-4
ESPN+

Current Lines Updated 02:57 AM MST

BUFF Spread -1.0 -110
BALL Spread +1.5 -110
Over 142.5 -110
Under 142.5 -110
BUFF ML -118
BALL ML +105
1st half lines not yet available for this game
Public Betting (555 bets)
BUFF
BALL
Spread
50%
50%
ML
50%
50%
Total
O 90%
U 10%
$ Money
O 90%
U 10%

PMill AI Analysis

22-Factor Cap Model
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Season Records

BUFF
7-6 Record 6-4
6-5 ATS 4-4
5-6 Over/Under 4-4
+0.0u ATS Units +0.0u
-3.2u O/U Units -0.1u
- Away / Home 5-4
4-7 Conference 3-7
BALL

Team Comparison

BUFF BALL
+12.4
79.3
Points Per Game
66.9
75.8
Opponent Points Allowed
70.1
+5.6
+6.7
+3.5
Point Differential
-3.2
29.2
Points in Paint
31.0
+1.8
+3.6
11.2
Fast Break Points
7.6
13.7
Points off Turnovers
13.7
+5.9
47.7%
Field Goal %
41.8%
+8.6
38.8%
Three-Point %
30.2%
+4.2
73.6%
Free Throw %
69.4%
+1.8
29.2
Rebounds Per Game
27.4
+0.6
8.1
Offensive Rebounds
7.5
+1.3
21.2
Defensive Rebounds
19.9
+3.0
15.0
Assists Per Game
12.0
10.6
Turnovers Per Game
9.9
+0.7
+0.19
1.41
Assist/Turnover Ratio
1.22
7.5
Steals Per Game
7.7
+0.2
2.5
Blocks Per Game
2.7
+0.2
16.4
Fouls Per Game
15.7
+0.7
+17.6
118.6
Offensive Rating
101.0
112.1
Defensive Rating
106.9
+5.2
L3
Win/Loss Streak
W1
+4
+9.0
60.7%
True Shooting %
51.7%
+542
2113
Efficiency Rating
1571

Head to Head

10 meetings
Buffalo 7 - 3 Ball State
Buffalo 7W
Avg Total: 148.8
Jan 03, 2026 Ball State 72 @ Buffalo 85
Feb 22, 2025 Ball State 80 @ Buffalo 66
Feb 01, 2025 Ball State 89 @ Buffalo 76
Jan 24, 2024 Ball State 87 @ Buffalo 59
Jan 25, 2023 Ball State 65 @ Buffalo 91
Feb 12, 2022 Ball State 74 @ Buffalo 80
Jan 14, 2022 Ball State 68 @ Buffalo 74
Feb 02, 2021 Ball State 58 @ Buffalo 78
Jan 09, 2021 Ball State 69 @ Buffalo 86
Feb 19, 2020 Ball State 59 @ Buffalo 72

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