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EARLY SEASON — PAPER / TRACK MODE · projections flagged for calibration

Delaware Blue Hens

1-0
7:56 - 2nd
3 14

Vanderbilt Commodores

1-0
1H 0–14
2H 3–0
2026-09-12T20:15:00+00:00 FirstBank Stadium
DEL 55%
45% VAN
DEL 11.0 9.0 VAN projected

Tap a cell to add to your slip

Spread
ML
O/U
DEL
+20.5 -110
+947
O 54.75 -110
VAN
-20.5 -110
-1400
U 54.75 -110

Best Pick

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Model Analysis 🔒

-27.1 Favors Delaware Blue Hens (DEL) — side / ATS lean

Overall is a weighted side lean (not Over/Under). Positive = home advantage in the model; negative = away. Use Model vs Market below for the O/U and moneyline edges.

Model vs Market

Spread (side)
Market VAN -20.5 Model VAN +2.0
22.5 pt edge → DEL value
Total (O/U)
Market 54.75 Model 20.0
3.2 pt edge → Under · pick Under 54.8
Moneyline
Model: VAN 45% win Market VAN -1400
45.4% edge · pick Delaware Blue Hens ML

Category leans

Same sign as Overall: + favors VAN, − favors DEL.

Power / Efficiency -42.2
DELVAN
Favors DEL
Situational -2.6
DELVAN
Favors DEL
Sharp Money 0.0
DELVAN
Even
Matchup -75.2
DELVAN
Favors DEL
How factors were scored · 9 inputs

Each factor compares raw team (or game) numbers, then contributes a signed score to the category above. Team-stat rows below hold the season numbers; situational and sharp factors use rest, weather, injuries, and betting splits.

DEL Factor value VAN
Power / Efficiency
Yards Per Play (EPA proxy) -71 DEL
7.39
6.27
Vanderbilt Commodores: 6.27 vs Delaware Blue Hens: 7.39
Scoring Power (PPG) -100 DEL
42.0
28.0
Vanderbilt Commodores: 28.0 vs Delaware Blue Hens: 42.0
Defensive Strength -31 EVEN
7.0
9.0
Vanderbilt Commodores allows 9.0 vs Delaware Blue Hens: 7.0
Passing Efficiency (YPA) -75 DEL
9.9
8.4
Vanderbilt Commodores: 8.4 vs Delaware Blue Hens: 9.9
Rushing Dominance (YPC) +78 VAN
3.9
4.9
Vanderbilt Commodores: 4.9 vs Delaware Blue Hens: 3.9
Situational
Home Field Advantage +38 VAN
0.0
3.5
~3.5 point home advantage (NCAAF)
Rest Advantage -35 EVEN
9.0
7.0
Vanderbilt Commodores: 7d rest vs Delaware Blue Hens: 9d
Matchup
Third Down Efficiency -100 DEL
46.2%
33.3%
Vanderbilt Commodores: 33.3% vs Delaware Blue Hens: 46.2%
Pass Rush (Sacks) -47 DEL
1.0
0.0
Vanderbilt Commodores: 0.0 vs Delaware Blue Hens: 1.0

Team Stats Comparison

DEL Stat VAN
Offense · Scoring & Efficiency
42.0
Scoring Power (PPG)
28.0
7.39
Yards / Play
6.27
435
Pass Yards / Game
209
112
Rush Yards / Game
186
9.9
Yards / Pass Att
8.4
3.9
Yards / Carry
4.9
54.5
Completion %
72.0
46.2
3rd Down %
33.3
74
Plays / Game
63
Defense
7.0
Points Allowed
9.0
3.14
YPP Allowed
3.49
181
Pass Yds Allowed
116
48
Rush Yds Allowed
62
4.0
Opp Yards / Pass Att
5.5
1.0
Sacks / Game
0.0
Ball Security & Kicking
0.0
FG %
100.0
Splits & Betting Record
+35.0
Point Diff / Game
+19.0
Situational (game-day)
9
Rest Days
7

Betting Splits 5578 bets tracked

Each side is labeled — higher % means more tickets or dollars on that team / total.

Spread · % of tickets
DEL
48%
of tickets
VAN
52%
of tickets
Spread · % of money
DEL
44%
of handle
VAN
56%
of handle
Total · % of tickets
Under
80%
of tickets
Over
20%
of tickets

Availability & Conditions

DEL
No report
VAN
No report
88°F Intermittent clouds

PMill Verdict

No playable edge — use the team stats and factor bars above.

Projected DEL 11.0 – VAN 9.0

Deep offense/defense bars stay primary. This is the graded roll-up after you’ve scanned the board.