Free MLB picks, graded A+ to D. PMill prices every MLB game with its own model, grades each pick against the sportsbook line, and logs every graded pick at its publish price on the public record — wins and losses both. A free account sees today's grades and the full record, with no credit card.

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MLB

Moneyline · Run line · Totals — starters, bullpens, park & weather

PMill picks
Record · 30 days
Full record & ledger → Free AI picks →

 

How PMill grades MLB picks

  • A+ 2u · strongest edge
  • A 1.5u
  • B 1u
  • C 0.5u · tracked, not a play

The model prices every game, then compares its probability with the market. A pick is published only when the edge clears the grade's bar. Everything else is labelled No edge.

Held means a pick is waiting on a confirmed starter (pitcher). Paused means that market is tracked privately until it proves out again.

Every published pick is logged at its publish price. ROI uses the real price where we stored one (-110 otherwise) and beat the close is how often the closing line moved toward our pick.

See the full record →

MLB picks: common questions

How are PMill's MLB picks graded?

The model prices every MLB game, then compares its probability with the sportsbook line. A pick is published only when the edge clears that grade's bar. Every published pick is logged at its publish price, so the public record shows wins and losses together.

What do the A+ to D grades mean?

Grades show how big an edge the model sees against the line. A+ is the strongest play (2 units), A is 1.5 units, B is 1 unit, C is 0.5 units and tracked but not a play, and D means no real edge. A grade is an edge estimate, not a guarantee.

What does free access include?

A free Starter account includes live MLB odds, scores and stats, the full paper-betting platform, community and groups, and 1 AI credit a week, with no credit card. PMill Pro ($39.99/mo or $299/yr, 7-day free trial) unlocks every AI pick and the full analysis behind each grade.

Which sports carry AI grades?

MLB and basketball (NBA and NCAAB when those slates run) are graded A+ to D. NFL, NHL, soccer, UFC and tennis get live odds, stats and paper betting only, with no AI grades.