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BYU Cougars: 7.55 vs Arizona Wildcats: 7.03
BYU Cougars: 63.0 vs Arizona Wildcats: 35.0
BYU Cougars allows 7.0 vs Arizona Wildcats: 7.0
BYU Cougars: 9.7 vs Arizona Wildcats: 8.7
BYU Cougars: 6.7 vs Arizona Wildcats: 5.6
~3.5 point home advantage (NCAAF)
Contrarian: public 15% home
BYU Cougars: 81.8% vs Arizona Wildcats: 58.3%
BYU Cougars: 1.0 vs Arizona Wildcats: 2.0
Arizona Wildcats
1-0
Halftime
17
–
14
BYU Cougars
1-0
1H
10–7
2H
7–7
ARIZ 35%
65% BYU
ARIZ
9.0
–
15.2
BYU
projected
Tap a cell to add to your slip
Spread
ML
O/U
ARIZ
+6.5
-110
+210
O
48.5
-110
BYU
-6.5
-110
-258
U
48.5
-110
Model Analysis 🔒
Model vs Market
Spread (side)
Market BYU -6.5
Model BYU -6.2
0.3 pt edge →
ARIZ value
Total (O/U)
Market 48.5
Model 24.2
24.3 pt edge →
Under
· pick Under 48.5
Moneyline
Model: BYU 65% win
Market BYU -258
7.0% edge
· pick BYU Cougars ML
Category leans
Same sign as Overall: + favors BYU, − favors ARIZ.
Power / Efficiency
+53.1
ARIZBYU
Favors BYU
Situational
+38.0
ARIZBYU
Favors BYU
Sharp Money
+100.0
ARIZBYU
Favors BYU
Matchup
+31.9
ARIZBYU
Favors BYU
How factors were scored · 9 inputs
Each factor compares raw team (or game) numbers, then contributes a signed score to the category above. Team-stat rows below hold the season numbers; situational and sharp factors use rest, weather, injuries, and betting splits.
ARIZ
Factor value
BYU
Power / Efficiency
Yards Per Play (EPA proxy)
+33
BYU
7.03
7.55
Scoring Power (PPG)
+100
BYU
35.0
63.0
Defensive Strength
0
EVEN
7.0
7.0
Passing Efficiency (YPA)
+50
BYU
8.7
9.7
Rushing Dominance (YPC)
+86
BYU
5.6
6.7
Situational
Home Field Advantage
+38
BYU
0.0
3.5
Sharp Money
Sharp vs Public (Spread)
+100
BYU
85.0
15.0
Matchup
Third Down Efficiency
+100
BYU
58.3%
81.8%
Pass Rush (Sacks)
-47
ARIZ
2.0
1.0
Team Stats Comparison
ARIZ
Stat
BYU
Offense · Scoring & Efficiency
35.0
Scoring Power (PPG)
63.0
7.03
Yards / Play
7.55
331
Pass Yards / Game
213
189
Rush Yards / Game
308
8.7
Yards / Pass Att
9.7
5.6
Yards / Carry
6.7
73.7
Completion %
77.3
58.3
3rd Down %
81.8
74
Plays / Game
69
Defense
7.0
Points Allowed
7.0
3.33
YPP Allowed
3.23
200
Pass Yds Allowed
135
-7
Rush Yds Allowed
49
6.5
Opp Yards / Pass Att
4.4
2.0
Sacks / Game
1.0
Ball Security & Kicking
Splits & Betting Record
+28.0
Point Diff / Game
+56.0
Situational (game-day)
6
Rest Days
6
Betting Splits 8103 bets tracked
Each side is labeled — higher % means more tickets or dollars on that team / total.
Spread · % of tickets
ARIZ
85%
of tickets
BYU
15%
of tickets
Spread · % of money
ARIZ
86%
of handle
BYU
14%
of handle
Total · % of tickets
Under
62%
of tickets
Over
38%
of tickets
Availability & Conditions
ARIZ
No report
BYU
No report
88°F
2
PMill Verdict
No playable edge — use the team stats and factor bars above.
Projected ARIZ 9.0 – BYU 15.2
Deep offense/defense bars stay primary. This is the graded roll-up after you’ve scanned the board.