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Indiana Hoosiers: 7.93 vs Howard Bison: 4.54
Indiana Hoosiers: 52.0 vs Howard Bison: 26.0
Indiana Hoosiers allows 16.0 vs Howard Bison: 26.0
Indiana Hoosiers: 14.4 vs Howard Bison: 6.6
Indiana Hoosiers: 4.5 vs Howard Bison: 3.2
~3.5 point home advantage (NCAAF)
Money 52% vs tickets 89% on home
Contrarian: public 89% home
Total money 88% over vs tickets 26%
Indiana Hoosiers: 55.6% vs Howard Bison: 32.4%
Indiana Hoosiers: 0.0 vs Howard Bison: 8.0
Howard Bison
1-2
Final
0
–
55
Indiana Hoosiers
2-0
Q1
0–20
Q2
0–21
Q3
0–14
Q4
0–0
HOW 12%
88% IU
HOW
13.4
–
43.4
IU
projected
Tap a cell to add to your slip
Spread
ML
O/U
HOW
+57.5
-110
–
O
67.5
-110
IU
-57.5
-110
–
U
67.5
-110
Model Analysis 🔒
Model vs Market
Spread (side)
Market IU -57.5
Model IU -30.0
27.5 pt edge →
HOW value
Total (O/U)
Market 67.5
Model 56.8
3.2 pt edge →
Under
· pick Under 67.5
Category leans
Same sign as Overall: + favors IU, − favors HOW.
Power / Efficiency
+100.0
HOWIU
Favors IU
Situational
+38.0
HOWIU
Favors IU
Sharp Money
+24.5
HOWIU
Favors IU
Matchup
+7.1
HOWIU
Favors IU
How factors were scored · 11 inputs
Each factor compares raw team (or game) numbers, then contributes a signed score to the category above. Team-stat rows below hold the season numbers; situational and sharp factors use rest, weather, injuries, and betting splits.
HOW
Factor value
IU
Power / Efficiency
Yards Per Play (EPA proxy)
+100
IU
4.54
7.93
Scoring Power (PPG)
+100
IU
26.0
52.0
Defensive Strength
+100
IU
26.0
16.0
Passing Efficiency (YPA)
+100
IU
6.6
14.4
Rushing Dominance (YPC)
+100
IU
3.2
4.5
Situational
Home Field Advantage
+38
IU
0.0
3.5
Sharp Money
Sharp vs Public (Spread)
-100
HOW
89.0
52.0
Sharp vs Public (Spread)
+100
HOW
11.0
89.0
Sharp vs Public (Total)
+100
EVEN
26.0
88.0
Matchup
Third Down Efficiency
+100
IU
32.4%
55.6%
Pass Rush (Sacks)
-100
HOW
8.0
0.0
Team Stats Comparison
HOW
Stat
IU
Offense · Scoring & Efficiency
26.0
Scoring Power (PPG)
52.0
4.54
Yards / Play
7.93
216
Pass Yards / Game
231
122
Rush Yards / Game
134
6.6
Yards / Pass Att
14.4
3.2
Yards / Carry
4.5
44.6
Completion %
81.3
32.4
3rd Down %
55.6
74
Plays / Game
46
Defense
26.0
Points Allowed
16.0
5.29
YPP Allowed
5.40
258
Pass Yds Allowed
215
89
Rush Yds Allowed
152
6.8
Opp Yards / Pass Att
7.4
8.0
Sacks / Game
0.0
Ball Security & Kicking
100.0
FG %
100.0
Splits & Betting Record
+0.0
Point Diff / Game
+36.0
Situational (game-day)
7
Rest Days
7
Betting Splits 3120 bets tracked
Each side is labeled — higher % means more tickets or dollars on that team / total.
Spread · % of tickets
HOW
11%
of tickets
IU
89%
of tickets
Spread · % of money
HOW
48%
of handle
IU
52%
of handle
Money is HOW-heavy vs tickets — sharp signal.
Total · % of tickets
Under
74%
of tickets
Over
26%
of tickets
PMill Verdict
No playable edge — use the team stats and factor bars above.
Projected HOW 13.4 – IU 43.4
Deep offense/defense bars stay primary. This is the graded roll-up after you’ve scanned the board.