Back to College Football Picks
EARLY SEASON — PAPER / TRACK MODE · projections flagged for calibration

Holy Cross Crusaders

0-2
Final
7 – 45

Miami (OH) RedHawks

0-1
Q1 0–14
Q2 0–28
Q3 7–3
Q4 0–0
2026-09-12T17:00:00+00:00 Yager Stadium
HC 65%
35% M-OH
HC 29.7 – 23.6 M-OH projected

Tap a cell to add to your slip

Spread
ML
O/U
HC
+30.5 -110
+2000
O 46.5 -110
M-OH
-30.5 -110
-6500
U 46.5 -110

Best Pick

🔒 Locked

Buy credits or subscribe for $39.99/mo

Model Analysis 🔒

-20.5 Favors Holy Cross Crusaders (HC) — side / ATS lean

Overall is a weighted side lean (not Over/Under). Positive = home advantage in the model; negative = away. Use Model vs Market below for the O/U and moneyline edges.

Model vs Market

Spread (side)
Market M-OH -30.5 Model M-OH +6.2
36.7 pt edge → HC value
Total (O/U)
Market 46.5 Model 53.3
3.2 pt edge → Over · pick Over 46.5
Moneyline
Model: M-OH 35% win Market M-OH -6500
60.3% edge · pick Holy Cross Crusaders ML

Category leans

Same sign as Overall: + favors M-OH, − favors HC.

Power / Efficiency -39.6
HCM-OH
Favors HC
Situational +38.0
HCM-OH
Favors M-OH
Sharp Money -57.3
HCM-OH
Favors HC
Matchup -31.9
HCM-OH
Favors HC
How factors were scored · 9 inputs

Each factor compares raw team (or game) numbers, then contributes a signed score to the category above. Team-stat rows below hold the season numbers; situational and sharp factors use rest, weather, injuries, and betting splits.

HC Factor value M-OH
Power / Efficiency
Yards Per Play (EPA proxy) -38 HC
5.42
4.82
Miami (OH) RedHawks: 4.82 vs Holy Cross Crusaders: 5.42
Scoring Power (PPG) +56 M-OH
10.0
14.0
Miami (OH) RedHawks: 14.0 vs Holy Cross Crusaders: 10.0
Defensive Strength -100 HC
35.0
59.0
Miami (OH) RedHawks allows 59.0 vs Holy Cross Crusaders: 35.0
Passing Efficiency (YPA) -30 HC
7.7
7.1
Miami (OH) RedHawks: 7.1 vs Holy Cross Crusaders: 7.7
Rushing Dominance (YPC) -93 HC
2.5
1.3
Miami (OH) RedHawks: 1.3 vs Holy Cross Crusaders: 2.5
Situational
Home Field Advantage +38 M-OH
0.0
3.5
~3.5 point home advantage (NCAAF)
Sharp Money
Sharp vs Public (Spread) -57 HC
66.0
48.0
Money 48% vs tickets 66% on home
Matchup
Third Down Efficiency -100 HC
36.4%
23.1%
Miami (OH) RedHawks: 23.1% vs Holy Cross Crusaders: 36.4%
Pass Rush (Sacks) +47 M-OH
1.0
2.0
Miami (OH) RedHawks: 2.0 vs Holy Cross Crusaders: 1.0

Team Stats Comparison

HC Stat M-OH
Offense · Scoring & Efficiency
10.0
Scoring Power (PPG)
14.0
5.42
Yards / Play
4.82
288
Pass Yards / Game
262
72
Rush Yards / Game
27
7.7
Yards / Pass Att
7.1
2.5
Yards / Carry
1.3
58.7
Completion %
51.4
36.4
3rd Down %
23.1
66
Plays / Game
60
Defense
35.0
Points Allowed
59.0
7.24
YPP Allowed
8.50
204
Pass Yds Allowed
480
216
Rush Yds Allowed
166
10.2
Opp Yards / Pass Att
10.9
1.0
Sacks / Game
2.0
Ball Security & Kicking
100.0
FG %
0.0
Splits & Betting Record
-25.0
Point Diff / Game
-45.0
Situational (game-day)
7
Rest Days
7

Betting Splits 1034 bets tracked

Each side is labeled — higher % means more tickets or dollars on that team / total.

Spread · % of tickets
HC
34%
of tickets
M-OH
66%
of tickets
Spread · % of money
HC
52%
of handle
M-OH
48%
of handle
Money is HC-heavy vs tickets — sharp signal.
Total · % of tickets
Under
74%
of tickets
Over
26%
of tickets

Availability & Conditions

HC
No report
M-OH
No report
78°F 6

PMill Verdict

No playable edge — use the team stats and factor bars above.

Projected HC 29.7 – M-OH 23.6

Deep offense/defense bars stay primary. This is the graded roll-up after you’ve scanned the board.