College Football picks
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Georgia State
4-2
Final
@
–
–
–
Arkansas State
3-4LiveIn-game
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PMill verdict
No bet
- Odds only: PMill doesn't model this matchup
- No posted market price to measure the model against yet.
Odds & market Consensus
Moneyline
1.5% hold
Side
Consensus
No-vig
Best
GAST
-123
55.2% w/ vig
54.4%
—
ARST
+116
46.3% w/ vig
45.6%
—
Spread
4.1% hold
Side
Consensus
No-vig
Best
GAST
-2.5 -110
52.4% w/ vig
50.3%
—
ARST
+2.5 -107
51.7% w/ vig
49.7%
—
Total
5.4% hold
Side
Consensus
No-vig
Best
Over
o57.5 -113
53.1% w/ vig
50.3%
—
Under
u57.5 -110
52.4% w/ vig
49.7%
—
No-vig = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed — the market's own win probability. Best-price shopping appears when our odds feed has more than one book on this game.
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Spread
ML
O/U
GAST
-2.5
-110
-123
O
57.5
-113
ARST
+2.5
-107
+116
U
57.5
-110
AI Analysis Experimental
No AI research read for this game yet. Reads run around 9:20 ET and about 90 minutes before start for games with a pick or model lean.
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