College Football picks
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Utah State
2-4
Final
@
–
–
–
Texas State
3-3LiveIn-game
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PMill verdict
No bet
- Odds only: PMill doesn't model this matchup
- No posted market price to measure the model against yet.
Odds & market Consensus
Moneyline
3.1% hold
Side
Consensus
No-vig
Best
USU
+405
19.8% w/ vig
19.2%
—
TXST
-500
83.3% w/ vig
80.8%
—
Spread
2.7% hold
Side
Consensus
No-vig
Best
USU
+13.5 -104
51.0% w/ vig
49.7%
—
TXST
-13.5 -107
51.7% w/ vig
50.3%
—
Total
5.0% hold
Side
Consensus
No-vig
Best
Over
o61 -111
52.6% w/ vig
50.1%
—
Under
u61 -110
52.4% w/ vig
49.9%
—
No-vig = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed — the market's own win probability. Best-price shopping appears when our odds feed has more than one book on this game.
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Spread
ML
O/U
USU
+13.5
-104
+405
O
61
-111
TXST
-13.5
-107
-500
U
61
-110
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No AI research read for this game yet. Reads run around 9:20 ET and about 90 minutes before start for games with a pick or model lean.
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