College Football picks
NCAAF Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Away

California

3-4
@
Home

SMU

5-1 #23
PMill verdict

No bet

  • Odds only: PMill doesn't model this matchup
  • No posted market price to measure the model against yet.

Odds & market Consensus

Moneyline 3.1% hold
Side Consensus No-vig Best
CAL +717 12.2% w/ vig 11.9% —
SMU -1000 90.9% w/ vig 88.1% —
Spread 4.5% hold
Side Consensus No-vig Best
CAL +18.5 -110 52.4% w/ vig 50.1% —
SMU -18.5 -109 52.2% w/ vig 49.9% —
Total 5.7% hold
Side Consensus No-vig Best
Over o56.5 -114 53.3% w/ vig 50.4% —
Under u56.5 -110 52.4% w/ vig 49.6% —

No-vig = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed — the market's own win probability. Best-price shopping appears when our odds feed has more than one book on this game.

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Spread
ML
O/U
CAL
+18.5 -110
+717
O 56.5 -114
SMU
-18.5 -109
-1000
U 56.5 -110

AI Analysis Experimental

No AI research read for this game yet. Reads run around 9:20 ET and about 90 minutes before start for games with a pick or model lean.

Odds: sportsbook consensus

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