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EARLY SEASON — PAPER / TRACK MODE · projections flagged for calibration

Old Dominion Monarchs

1-0
Final
21 – 44

Virginia Tech Hokies

1-0
Q1 3–17
Q2 3–17
Q3 7–3
Q4 8–7
2026-09-12T16:00:00+00:00 Lane Stadium
ODU 19%
81% VT
ODU 9.0 – 23.3 VT projected

Tap a cell to add to your slip

Spread
ML
O/U
ODU
+17.5 -110
+625
O 47.5 -110
VT
-17.5 -110
-950
U 47.5 -110

Best Pick

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Model Analysis 🔒

+20.4 Favors Virginia Tech Hokies (VT) — side / ATS lean

Overall is a weighted side lean (not Over/Under). Positive = home advantage in the model; negative = away. Use Model vs Market below for the O/U and moneyline edges.

Model vs Market

Spread (side)
Market VT -17.5 Model VT -14.3
3.2 pt edge → ODU value
Total (O/U)
Market 47.5 Model 32.3
3.2 pt edge → Under · pick Under 47.5
Moneyline
Model: VT 81% win Market VT -950
9.0% edge · pick Virginia Tech Hokies ML

Category leans

Same sign as Overall: + favors VT, − favors ODU.

Power / Efficiency +83.6
ODUVT
Favors VT
Situational +38.0
ODUVT
Favors VT
Sharp Money -14.3
ODUVT
Favors ODU
Matchup -96.9
ODUVT
Favors ODU
How factors were scored · 10 inputs

Each factor compares raw team (or game) numbers, then contributes a signed score to the category above. Team-stat rows below hold the season numbers; situational and sharp factors use rest, weather, injuries, and betting splits.

ODU Factor value VT
Power / Efficiency
Yards Per Play (EPA proxy) +100 VT
5.60
8.60
Virginia Tech Hokies: 8.60 vs Old Dominion Monarchs: 5.60
Scoring Power (PPG) +100 VT
31.0
73.0
Virginia Tech Hokies: 73.0 vs Old Dominion Monarchs: 31.0
Defensive Strength +100 VT
10.0
3.0
Virginia Tech Hokies allows 3.0 vs Old Dominion Monarchs: 10.0
Passing Efficiency (YPA) 0 EVEN
11.0
11.0
Virginia Tech Hokies: 11.0 vs Old Dominion Monarchs: 11.0
Rushing Dominance (YPC) +100 VT
4.2
6.7
Virginia Tech Hokies: 6.7 vs Old Dominion Monarchs: 4.2
Situational
Home Field Advantage +38 VT
0.0
3.5
~3.5 point home advantage (NCAAF)
Sharp Money
Sharp vs Public (Spread) -100 ODU
82.0
39.0
Money 39% vs tickets 82% on home
Sharp vs Public (Spread) +100 ODU
18.0
82.0
Contrarian: public 82% home
Matchup
Third Down Efficiency -100 ODU
55.6%
37.5%
Virginia Tech Hokies: 37.5% vs Old Dominion Monarchs: 55.6%
Pass Rush (Sacks) -93 ODU
2.0
0.0
Virginia Tech Hokies: 0.0 vs Old Dominion Monarchs: 2.0

Team Stats Comparison

ODU Stat VT
Offense · Scoring & Efficiency
31.0
Scoring Power (PPG)
73.0
5.60
Yards / Play
8.60
143
Pass Yards / Game
351
176
Rush Yards / Game
268
11.0
Yards / Pass Att
11.0
4.2
Yards / Carry
6.7
69.2
Completion %
84.4
55.6
3rd Down %
37.5
57
Plays / Game
72
Defense
10.0
Points Allowed
3.0
3.38
YPP Allowed
1.36
94
Pass Yds Allowed
87
126
Rush Yds Allowed
-4
4.7
Opp Yards / Pass Att
6.7
2.0
Sacks / Game
0.0
Ball Security & Kicking
100.0
FG %
100.0
Splits & Betting Record
+21.0
Point Diff / Game
+70.0
Situational (game-day)
7
Rest Days
7

Betting Splits 12046 bets tracked

Each side is labeled — higher % means more tickets or dollars on that team / total.

Spread · % of tickets
ODU
18%
of tickets
VT
82%
of tickets
Spread · % of money
ODU
61%
of handle
VT
39%
of handle
Money is ODU-heavy vs tickets — sharp signal.
Total · % of tickets
Under
62%
of tickets
Over
38%
of tickets

Availability & Conditions

ODU
No report
VT
No report
76°F 6

PMill Verdict

No playable edge — use the team stats and factor bars above.

Projected ODU 9.0 – VT 23.3

Deep offense/defense bars stay primary. This is the graded roll-up after you’ve scanned the board.