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Army Black Knights: 9.26 vs South Florida Bulls: 3.65
Army Black Knights: 59.0 vs South Florida Bulls: 19.0
Army Black Knights allows 3.0 vs South Florida Bulls: 9.0
Army Black Knights: 6.1 vs South Florida Bulls: 5.6
Army Black Knights: 10.0 vs South Florida Bulls: 2.8
~3.5 point home advantage (NCAAF)
Contrarian: public 23% home
Army Black Knights: 66.7% vs South Florida Bulls: 38.5%
Army Black Knights: 0.0 vs South Florida Bulls: 1.0
Army Black Knights: 50.0% vs South Florida Bulls: 100.0%
South Florida Bulls
2-0
Final
28
–
24
Army Black Knights
1-1
Q1
7–0
Q2
0–14
Q3
7–0
Q4
14–10
USF 29%
71% ARMY
USF
9.0
–
18.0
ARMY
projected
Tap a cell to add to your slip
Spread
ML
O/U
USF
+3.0
-110
+140
O
45.5
-110
ARMY
-3.0
-110
-166
U
45.5
-110
Model Analysis 🔒
Model vs Market
Spread (side)
Market ARMY -3.0
Model ARMY -9.0
6.0 pt edge →
ARMY covers
· pick Army Black Knights -3.0
Total (O/U)
Market 45.5
Model 27.0
18.5 pt edge →
Under
· pick Under 45.5
Moneyline
Model: ARMY 71% win
Market ARMY -166
9.0% edge
· pick Army Black Knights ML
Category leans
Same sign as Overall: + favors ARMY, − favors USF.
Power / Efficiency
+86.2
USFARMY
Favors ARMY
Situational
+38.0
USFARMY
Favors ARMY
Sharp Money
+94.5
USFARMY
Favors ARMY
Matchup
+2.6
USFARMY
Favors ARMY
How factors were scored · 10 inputs
Each factor compares raw team (or game) numbers, then contributes a signed score to the category above. Team-stat rows below hold the season numbers; situational and sharp factors use rest, weather, injuries, and betting splits.
USF
Factor value
ARMY
Power / Efficiency
Yards Per Play (EPA proxy)
+100
ARMY
3.65
9.26
Scoring Power (PPG)
+100
ARMY
19.0
59.0
Defensive Strength
+93
ARMY
9.0
3.0
Passing Efficiency (YPA)
+25
ARMY
5.6
6.1
Rushing Dominance (YPC)
+100
ARMY
2.8
10.0
Situational
Home Field Advantage
+38
ARMY
0.0
3.5
Sharp Money
Sharp vs Public (Spread)
+94
ARMY
77.0
23.0
Matchup
Third Down Efficiency
+100
ARMY
38.5%
66.7%
Pass Rush (Sacks)
-47
USF
1.0
0.0
Special Teams (FG%)
-100
USF
100.0%
50.0%
Team Stats Comparison
USF
Stat
ARMY
Offense · Scoring & Efficiency
19.0
Scoring Power (PPG)
59.0
3.65
Yards / Play
9.26
100
Pass Yards / Game
79
108
Rush Yards / Game
569
5.6
Yards / Pass Att
6.1
2.8
Yards / Carry
10.0
61.1
Completion %
53.8
38.5
3rd Down %
66.7
57
Plays / Game
70
Defense
9.0
Points Allowed
3.0
5.01
YPP Allowed
3.00
301
Pass Yds Allowed
98
80
Rush Yds Allowed
67
6.0
Opp Yards / Pass Att
4.3
1.0
Sacks / Game
0.0
Ball Security & Kicking
100.0
FG %
50.0
Splits & Betting Record
+10.0
Point Diff / Game
+56.0
Situational (game-day)
7
Rest Days
7
Betting Splits 12111 bets tracked
Each side is labeled — higher % means more tickets or dollars on that team / total.
Spread · % of tickets
USF
77%
of tickets
ARMY
23%
of tickets
Spread · % of money
USF
71%
of handle
ARMY
29%
of handle
Total · % of tickets
Under
45%
of tickets
Over
55%
of tickets
PMill Verdict
No playable edge — use the team stats and factor bars above.
Projected USF 9.0 – ARMY 18.0
Deep offense/defense bars stay primary. This is the graded roll-up after you’ve scanned the board.