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EARLY SEASON — PAPER / TRACK MODE · projections flagged for calibration

Robert Morris Colonials

2-0
Final
10 – 45

Akron Zips

0-1
Q1 0–7
Q2 10–14
Q3 0–10
Q4 0–14
2026-09-12T19:30:00+00:00 InfoCision Stadium
RMU 88%
12% AKR
RMU 36.6 – 9.0 AKR projected

Tap a cell to add to your slip

Spread
ML
O/U
RMU
+26.5 -110
+1400
O 45.5 -110
AKR
-26.5 -110
-3200
U 45.5 -110

Best Pick

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Model Analysis 🔒

+12.7 Favors Akron Zips (AKR) — side / ATS lean

Overall is a weighted side lean (not Over/Under). Positive = home advantage in the model; negative = away. Use Model vs Market below for the O/U and moneyline edges.

Model vs Market

Spread (side)
Market AKR -26.5 Model AKR +27.6
54.1 pt edge → RMU value
Total (O/U)
Market 45.5 Model 45.6
0.1 pt edge → Over
Moneyline
Model: AKR 12% win Market AKR -3200
85.0% edge · pick Akron Zips ML

Category leans

Same sign as Overall: + favors AKR, − favors RMU.

Power / Efficiency -72.3
RMUAKR
Favors RMU
Situational +36.3
RMUAKR
Favors AKR
Sharp Money +62.9
RMUAKR
Favors AKR
Matchup +83.1
RMUAKR
Favors AKR
How factors were scored · 11 inputs

Each factor compares raw team (or game) numbers, then contributes a signed score to the category above. Team-stat rows below hold the season numbers; situational and sharp factors use rest, weather, injuries, and betting splits.

RMU Factor value AKR
Power / Efficiency
Yards Per Play (EPA proxy) -81 RMU
5.56
4.30
Akron Zips: 4.30 vs Robert Morris Colonials: 5.56
Scoring Power (PPG) -100 RMU
28.5
16.0
Akron Zips: 16.0 vs Robert Morris Colonials: 28.5
Defensive Strength -100 RMU
8.0
38.0
Akron Zips allows 38.0 vs Robert Morris Colonials: 8.0
Passing Efficiency (YPA) -100 RMU
7.7
4.7
Akron Zips: 4.7 vs Robert Morris Colonials: 7.7
Rushing Dominance (YPC) +31 AKR
3.7
4.1
Akron Zips: 4.1 vs Robert Morris Colonials: 3.7
Situational
Home Field Advantage +38 AKR
0.0
3.5
~3.5 point home advantage (NCAAF)
Rest Advantage +35 EVEN
7.0
9.0
Akron Zips: 9d rest vs Robert Morris Colonials: 7d
Sharp Money
Sharp vs Public (Spread) +35 AKR
86.0
97.0
Money 97% vs tickets 86% on home
Sharp vs Public (Spread) +100 RMU
14.0
86.0
Contrarian: public 86% home
Matchup
Third Down Efficiency +74 AKR
34.4%
42.9%
Akron Zips: 42.9% vs Robert Morris Colonials: 34.4%
Pass Rush (Sacks) +93 AKR
0.0
2.0
Akron Zips: 2.0 vs Robert Morris Colonials: 0.0

Team Stats Comparison

RMU Stat AKR
Offense · Scoring & Efficiency
28.5
Scoring Power (PPG)
16.0
5.56
Yards / Play
4.30
228
Pass Yards / Game
156
128
Rush Yards / Game
149
7.7
Yards / Pass Att
4.7
3.7
Yards / Carry
4.1
57.6
Completion %
84.8
34.4
3rd Down %
42.9
64
Plays / Game
71
Defense
8.0
Points Allowed
38.0
3.16
YPP Allowed
8.22
112
Pass Yds Allowed
356
96
Rush Yds Allowed
203
3.5
Opp Yards / Pass Att
10.2
0.0
Sacks / Game
2.0
Ball Security & Kicking
0.0
FG %
100.0
Splits & Betting Record
+20.5
Point Diff / Game
-22.0
Situational (game-day)
7
Rest Days
9

Betting Splits 999 bets tracked

Each side is labeled — higher % means more tickets or dollars on that team / total.

Spread · % of tickets
RMU
14%
of tickets
AKR
86%
of tickets
Spread · % of money
RMU
3%
of handle
AKR
97%
of handle
Money is AKR-heavy vs tickets — sharp signal.
Total · % of tickets
Under
37%
of tickets
Over
63%
of tickets

Availability & Conditions

RMU
No report
AKR
No report
72°F 7

PMill Verdict

No playable edge — use the team stats and factor bars above.

Projected RMU 36.6 – AKR 9.0

Deep offense/defense bars stay primary. This is the graded roll-up after you’ve scanned the board.