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EARLY SEASON — PAPER / TRACK MODE · projections flagged for calibration

Wofford Terriers

2-1
Final
15 – 36

Kent State Golden Flashes

1-1
Q1 3–7
Q2 12–7
Q3 0–0
Q4 0–22
2026-09-12T16:00:00+00:00 Zoeller Field at Dix Stadium
WOF 88%
12% KENT
WOF 52.0 – 14.8 KENT projected

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Spread
ML
O/U
WOF
+10.0 -110
+350
O 45.5 -110
KENT
-10.0 -110
-455
U 45.5 -110

Best Pick

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Model Analysis 🔒

-29.4 Favors Wofford Terriers (WOF) — side / ATS lean

Overall is a weighted side lean (not Over/Under). Positive = home advantage in the model; negative = away. Use Model vs Market below for the O/U and moneyline edges.

Model vs Market

Spread (side)
Market KENT -10.0 Model KENT +37.2
47.2 pt edge → WOF value · pick Wofford Terriers +10.0
Total (O/U)
Market 45.5 Model 66.8
21.3 pt edge → Over · pick Over 45.5
Moneyline
Model: KENT 12% win Market KENT -455
65.8% edge · pick Wofford Terriers ML

Category leans

Same sign as Overall: + favors KENT, − favors WOF.

Power / Efficiency -70.7
WOFKENT
Favors WOF
Situational +38.0
WOFKENT
Favors KENT
Sharp Money 0.0
WOFKENT
Even
Matchup -100.0
WOFKENT
Favors WOF
How factors were scored · 6 inputs

Each factor compares raw team (or game) numbers, then contributes a signed score to the category above. Team-stat rows below hold the season numbers; situational and sharp factors use rest, weather, injuries, and betting splits.

WOF Factor value KENT
Power / Efficiency
Yards Per Play (EPA proxy) -78 WOF
4.88
3.65
Kent State Golden Flashes: 3.65 vs Wofford Terriers: 4.88
Defensive Strength -100 WOF
13.5
57.0
Kent State Golden Flashes allows 57.0 vs Wofford Terriers: 13.5
Passing Efficiency (YPA) -100 WOF
6.1
3.4
Kent State Golden Flashes: 3.4 vs Wofford Terriers: 6.1
Rushing Dominance (YPC) 0 EVEN
4.0
4.0
Kent State Golden Flashes: 4.0 vs Wofford Terriers: 4.0
Situational
Home Field Advantage +38 KENT
0.0
3.5
~3.5 point home advantage (NCAAF)
Matchup
Third Down Efficiency -100 WOF
52.2%
35.7%
Kent State Golden Flashes: 35.7% vs Wofford Terriers: 52.2%

Team Stats Comparison

WOF Stat KENT
Offense · Scoring & Efficiency
29.5
Scoring Power (PPG)
0.0
4.88
Yards / Play
3.65
150
Pass Yards / Game
79
125
Rush Yards / Game
100
6.1
Yards / Pass Att
3.4
4.0
Yards / Carry
4.0
61.2
Completion %
60.9
52.2
3rd Down %
35.7
56
Plays / Game
49
Defense
13.5
Points Allowed
57.0
5.16
YPP Allowed
8.84
251
Pass Yds Allowed
367
144
Rush Yds Allowed
278
6.4
Opp Yards / Pass Att
11.1
1.0
Sacks / Game
1.0
Ball Security & Kicking
100.0
FG %
0.0
Splits & Betting Record
+16.0
Point Diff / Game
+0.0
Situational (game-day)
7
Rest Days
7

Betting Splits 1661 bets tracked

Each side is labeled — higher % means more tickets or dollars on that team / total.

Spread · % of tickets
WOF
43%
of tickets
KENT
57%
of tickets
Spread · % of money
WOF
43%
of handle
KENT
57%
of handle
Total · % of tickets
Under
72%
of tickets
Over
28%
of tickets

PMill Verdict

No playable edge — use the team stats and factor bars above.

Projected WOF 52.0 – KENT 14.8

Deep offense/defense bars stay primary. This is the graded roll-up after you’ve scanned the board.