Back to College Football Picks
EARLY SEASON — PAPER / TRACK MODE · projections flagged for calibration

Sacred Heart Pioneers

0-1
3:32 - 4th
3 – 37

Massachusetts Minutemen

1-0
Q1 0–17
Q2 0–6
Q3 3–14
Q4 0–0
2026-09-12T19:30:00+00:00 Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
SHU 12%
88% MASS
SHU 17.3 – 39.6 MASS projected

Tap a cell to add to your slip

Spread
ML
O/U
SHU
+23.5 -110
+1200
O 53.5 -110
MASS
-23.5 -110
-2400
U 53.5 -110

Best Pick

🔒 Locked

Buy credits or subscribe for $39.99/mo

Model Analysis 🔒

+25.8 Favors Massachusetts Minutemen (MASS) — side / ATS lean

Overall is a weighted side lean (not Over/Under). Positive = home advantage in the model; negative = away. Use Model vs Market below for the O/U and moneyline edges.

Model vs Market

Spread (side)
Market MASS -23.5 Model MASS -22.3
1.2 pt edge → SHU value
Total (O/U)
Market 53.5 Model 57.0
3.2 pt edge → Over · pick Over 53.5
Moneyline
Model: MASS 88% win Market MASS -2400
8.0% edge

Category leans

Same sign as Overall: + favors MASS, − favors SHU.

Power / Efficiency +68.8
SHUMASS
Favors MASS
Situational +36.3
SHUMASS
Favors MASS
Sharp Money -9.9
SHUMASS
Favors SHU
Matchup -35.2
SHUMASS
Favors SHU
How factors were scored · 12 inputs

Each factor compares raw team (or game) numbers, then contributes a signed score to the category above. Team-stat rows below hold the season numbers; situational and sharp factors use rest, weather, injuries, and betting splits.

SHU Factor value MASS
Power / Efficiency
Yards Per Play (EPA proxy) +45 MASS
5.59
6.30
Massachusetts Minutemen: 6.30 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers: 5.59
Scoring Power (PPG) +100 MASS
24.0
37.0
Massachusetts Minutemen: 37.0 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers: 24.0
Defensive Strength +100 MASS
31.0
21.0
Massachusetts Minutemen allows 21.0 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers: 31.0
Passing Efficiency (YPA) +70 MASS
7.6
9.0
Massachusetts Minutemen: 9.0 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers: 7.6
Rushing Dominance (YPC) +16 EVEN
4.7
4.9
Massachusetts Minutemen: 4.9 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers: 4.7
Situational
Home Field Advantage +38 MASS
0.0
3.5
~3.5 point home advantage (NCAAF)
Rest Advantage +35 EVEN
7.0
9.0
Massachusetts Minutemen: 9d rest vs Sacred Heart Pioneers: 7d
Sharp Money
Sharp vs Public (Spread) -92 SHU
83.0
54.0
Money 54% vs tickets 83% on home
Sharp vs Public (Spread) +100 SHU
17.0
83.0
Contrarian: public 83% home
Matchup
Third Down Efficiency -57 SHU
42.9%
36.4%
Massachusetts Minutemen: 36.4% vs Sacred Heart Pioneers: 42.9%
Pass Rush (Sacks) -93 SHU
2.0
0.0
Massachusetts Minutemen: 0.0 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers: 2.0
Special Teams (FG%) +100 MASS
50.0%
100.0%
Massachusetts Minutemen: 100.0% vs Sacred Heart Pioneers: 50.0%

Team Stats Comparison

SHU Stat MASS
Offense · Scoring & Efficiency
24.0
Scoring Power (PPG)
37.0
5.59
Yards / Play
6.30
191
Pass Yards / Game
197
217
Rush Yards / Game
200
7.6
Yards / Pass Att
9.0
4.7
Yards / Carry
4.9
56.0
Completion %
86.4
42.9
3rd Down %
36.4
73
Plays / Game
63
Defense
31.0
Points Allowed
21.0
5.45
YPP Allowed
5.09
237
Pass Yds Allowed
319
112
Rush Yds Allowed
27
6.4
Opp Yards / Pass Att
8.4
2.0
Sacks / Game
0.0
Ball Security & Kicking
50.0
FG %
100.0
Splits & Betting Record
-7.0
Point Diff / Game
+16.0
Situational (game-day)
7
Rest Days
9

Betting Splits 1252 bets tracked

Each side is labeled — higher % means more tickets or dollars on that team / total.

Spread · % of tickets
SHU
17%
of tickets
MASS
83%
of tickets
Spread · % of money
SHU
46%
of handle
MASS
54%
of handle
Money is SHU-heavy vs tickets — sharp signal.
Total · % of tickets
Under
61%
of tickets
Over
39%
of tickets

Availability & Conditions

SHU
No report
MASS
No report
81°F 2

PMill Verdict

No playable edge — use the team stats and factor bars above.

Projected SHU 17.3 – MASS 39.6

Deep offense/defense bars stay primary. This is the graded roll-up after you’ve scanned the board.