College Football picks
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Sacramento State
1-6
Final
@
–
–
–
Ball State
2-5LiveIn-game
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PMill verdict
No bet
- Odds only: PMill doesn't model this matchup
- No posted market price to measure the model against yet.
Odds & market Consensus
Moneyline
3.5% hold
Side
Consensus
No-vig
Best
SAC
+430
18.9% w/ vig
18.2%
—
BALL
-550
84.6% w/ vig
81.8%
—
Spread
5.4% hold
Side
Consensus
No-vig
Best
SAC
+14.5 -110
52.4% w/ vig
49.7%
—
BALL
-14.5 -113
53.1% w/ vig
50.3%
—
Total
3.6% hold
Side
Consensus
No-vig
Best
Over
o51 -105
51.2% w/ vig
49.4%
—
Under
u51 -110
52.4% w/ vig
50.6%
—
No-vig = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed — the market's own win probability. Best-price shopping appears when our odds feed has more than one book on this game.
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Spread
ML
O/U
SAC
+14.5
-110
+430
O
51
-105
BALL
-14.5
-113
-550
U
51
-110
AI Analysis Experimental
No AI research read for this game yet. Reads run around 9:20 ET and about 90 minutes before start for games with a pick or model lean.
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