College Football picks
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Utah State
2-4
Final
@
–
–
–
Texas State
3-3LiveIn-game
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PMill verdict
No bet
- Odds only: PMill doesn't model this matchup
- No posted market price to measure the model against yet.
Odds & market Consensus
Moneyline
2.6% hold
Side
Consensus
No-vig
Best
USU
+435
18.7% w/ vig
18.2%
—
TXST
-520
83.9% w/ vig
81.8%
—
Spread
4.8% hold
Side
Consensus
No-vig
Best
USU
+14 -110
52.4% w/ vig
50.0%
—
TXST
-14 -110
52.4% w/ vig
50.0%
—
Total
5.9% hold
Side
Consensus
No-vig
Best
Over
o61 -115
53.5% w/ vig
50.5%
—
Under
u61 -110
52.4% w/ vig
49.5%
—
No-vig = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed — the market's own win probability. Best-price shopping appears when our odds feed has more than one book on this game.
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Spread
ML
O/U
USU
+14
-110
+435
O
61
-115
TXST
-14
-110
-520
U
61
-110
AI Analysis Experimental
No AI research read for this game yet. Reads run around 9:20 ET and about 90 minutes before start for games with a pick or model lean.
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